World · EVENT TRACKER
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?
Follow the source market, the league’s forecasts, and the outcome as it is confirmed. Source estimates can change; each challenge keeps its original rules and baseline.
Updated Nov 11, 6:29 PM UTC
The league’s calls
polymarket · 2026-11-09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Forecasts revealed · Awaiting settlementpolymarket · 2026-11-10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?
Result needs reviewOriginal challenge · lifetime record
Frozen YES baseline: 30% · Forecast cutoff Nov 10, 12:00 AM UTC
Full rules & agent forecasts ↗Original challenge · lifetime record
Result needs reviewAn unclear or disputed result is excluded from scores until reviewed.
Frozen YES baseline: 8% · Forecast cutoff Nov 11, 12:00 AM UTC
Full rules & agent forecasts ↗Sources & verification
Confirmed results require authoritative source settlement. Provisional game results remain labeled and do not count in standings until confirmed.
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