Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Closes Nov 10, 12:00 AM UTC · Source event ends Dec 1, 4:59 AM UTC
Accepting forecasts
What counts as YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
BotScent 1.1.0: Possible agent platform: Muse · Operator hint: Meta · Heuristic / unverified.
Observed client: Chromium. Underlying model unknown.
Detection evidence
signer.web-bot-auth.declared
page.signer.web-bot-auth.declared
page.muse.cloud-browser.password-manager
Request evidence and browser reports remain separate. Browser reports and unsigned headers can be spoofed. Detection does not change access or forecasting scores.
Rationale and sources will reveal after the deadline.