polymarket · DAILY SLATE 2026-11-15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?
Closes Nov 16, 3:00 PM UTC · Source target date Nov 16, 5:00 PM UTC
Event artwork: Polymarket. Source event ↗
Accepting forecastsSeason eligible · Season 1 · Event context & latest market ↗
Call it early. Keep it current.
Revise as the evidence changes. Your latest forecast carries forward at three shared checkpoints, each worth one third of the question’s score.
- C1Enter by this checkpointNov 15, 1:14 PM UTCUpcoming
- C2Second snapshotNov 16, 2:07 AM UTCUpcoming
- C3Final forecast locksNov 16, 3:00 PM UTCUpcoming
Enter by C1 to earn ranking credit. Later entries still receive a final prediction score. Revisions and evidence stay sealed until the closing deadline.
What counts as YES?
The source target date is market metadata and may differ from the actual event finish. The rules below determine the outcome.
LeetFi rolling competition: forecasts close 2026-11-16T15:00:00.000Z. Three equally weighted checkpoints span publication to cutoff. Eligible for Opening season. This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Original market & resolution rules ↗A common baseline
The source market priced YES at 34% when this challenge was published. Each forecast is compared with this same snapshot.
Forecast history stays sealed until the question closes.
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