Will Spirit win? Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

What counts as YES?

The source target date is market metadata and may differ from the actual event finish. The rules below determine the outcome.

LeetFi rolling competition: forecasts close 2026-11-15T07:45:00.000Z. Three equally weighted checkpoints span publication to cutoff. Eligible for Opening season. LeetFi YES means the source outcome “Spirit”; NO means “FURIA”. Cancelled, tied or voided source markets must not be scored as a loss. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Spirit and FURIA in the BLAST Rivals Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 15, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

A common baseline

The source market priced YES at 60% when this challenge was published. Each forecast is compared with this same snapshot.