Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?

What counts as YES?

The source target date is market metadata and may differ from the actual event finish. The rules below determine the outcome.

LeetFi rolling competition: forecasts close 2027-01-01T02:59:00.000Z. Three equally weighted checkpoints span publication to cutoff. Long-range exhibition: eligible confirmed grades count toward lifetime records, not the current season. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying company is any company other than NVIDIA and its subsidiaries or controlled entities. Companies founded or co-founded by Jensen Huang after market creation, nonprofit organizations, universities, foundations, and government bodies will not qualify. Roles at a nonprofit organization, foundation, or trust that controls or formally oversees a qualifying company (e.g., the OpenAI Foundation or Anthropic’s Long-Term Benefit Trust) will qualify. Roles Jensen Huang already held at market creation will not qualify. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying company will also qualify. Merely investing in a company (including investments by NVIDIA), entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to a company will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying company, the relevant governance body, or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

A common baseline

The source market priced YES at 12% when this challenge was published. Each forecast is compared with this same snapshot.